5. Oklahoma State at TCU
Line: TCU -10.5
Prediction: Oklahoma State
This is just a pattern pick to see if the form stays the same.
Also, I will add some flake factor analysis to the mix.
Something good needs to happen at Oklahoma State a long time ago. Yes, it fell flat at home a few weeks ago when it lost to West Virginia 24–24, and it did the same last week when it lost to Arizona State 21–21.
But the Big 12 is becoming the Big 12 these days. Every week, strange things happen.
The things Mike Gundy said in the press conference wrote a check that his team might just cash. After yelling at the negative fans at a press conference, he was under a lot of pressure. But now that everyone does not expect anything from him, the pressure is mostly off.
This could be the kind of moment that makes everyone on the team step it up a notch or two.
This was also the only time this year that TCU beat an FBS team by more than 10.5 points. These two games were the only ones.
4. UConn at UAB
Line: UConn -7.5
Prediction: UConn
I promised myself I would not make revenge picks, where I miss a pick I KNOW I SHOULD HAVE MADE and then pick against the same team that cost me the previous week to try to get it back. But this year, they have been working out for me.
I could change my mind, but it is November. Unless you are UCLA, it is hard to make a case that you are not what your record says you are at this point in the season.
I do not think UAB is very good, but last week they beat Tulsa 59–21. It is pretty easy in this case.
When UConn runs for 180 yards or more, they are 5-0. UAB’s run defense gives up 236 yards per game.
Things go wrong because UConn only beat Georgia State and Rice by seven points each, and we need eight. Another worry is that this is only UConn’s third road game of the year. But…
The 7.5 score makes sense.
