9. Florida State at Notre Dame
Last week, I told you to bet less than 50.5 points on the North Carolina-Florida State game because Florida State does not score in 2023.
North Carolina 35, Florida State 11; under on the 46; bing, pow; let us go take a steam.
I went on and on about how you should never break a streak or something. I am going the other way now.
I did not like the total of 47.5 for Florida State vs. Notre Dame, so I was happy to take the over at 42.5 for a key reason. That is something the Irish could do on their own; SMU scored 42 in late September.
FSU will not get more than 16 points, but they could get ten.
In October, Notre Dame beat other teams by an average of more than 31 points per game. The offense should be good for at least 10 points, and the Noles are so bad that they should be good for at least 31.
It is possible that some people will sweat late, but a late score will get to 43.
8. Oklahoma at Missouri
Line: Point Total 41.5
Prediction: Under
This isn’t really what my program is about.
I don’t like unders on low point totals – ever. I like point totals with more wiggle room than this, and when in doubt, steer into it and go the opposite, like the over on 41.5.
However, never mess with what the world is telling you.
Oklahoma’s offense is sad. The 59 points put up on Maine was simply to get what the program paid for, but the attack has failed to get to 16 points in four of the five SEC games.
And, to be scientific about it, the scientific term word I think I’m looking for after watching the Missouri offense – especially without QB Brady Cook – is “spooked.”
I’ll be mad if I don’t go with my gut on the under here, along with …
