This is amazing.
As promised, I made these picks at 5:13 am on a college football Saturday last week. This week I am finally getting to them at 5:12 am.
This week I am ahead. I am going to try harder.
Things are starting to become real now. There are a lot of easy games in the first three weeks of the season. Always pick against the FBS team that is not doing well.
We think we know something now. We know what these teams are like because we have seen most of them for three or four weeks. The trends and the way these teams play are clear to us.
Not at all.
I was not going to believe that Appalachian State was that bad, and then South Alabama beat them.
I was sure that Illinois would at least cover against Nebraska.
I do not want to get yelled at by crazy Husker fans, but Nebraska is getting so many pageviews and ratings right now that the media hype did not match the team. But I also knew for sure that Washington State would keep San Jose State from scoring…
Sorry about that.
This week, everything is checked again. There are a lot of tough weeks left in the season, but I think I can do better than.500 I got last week.
To put it another way, be careful.
10 Best College Football Predictions Against the Spread: Week 4
10. Fresno State at New Mexico
Odds: 59.5 points; pick “over.”
To be able to explain the choice is the whole point. Given that you have been following the teams, it should be correct, and if it is not, it is not always your mistake. Now is one of those times.
The defense in New Mexico is AWFUL. The offense is strong enough to score at least 20 points, and the defense, which gives up 47 points per game, will also help. Fresno State will be able to get at least 40 without having to work hard.
9. ULM at Texas
Line: Points = 52.5 Bet: Over
There is only one question left: will ULM score? The Warhawks are 2-0, which should be good enough to at least get on the board; the fear is that Texas will win 48–3. However, the Longhorns have already scored 52 points against Colorado State (52-0), and 56 points against UTSA.
And Arch Manning is making his first start. There are going to be fireworks.
8. Villanova at Maryland
Maryland is -17.5 on the line. Click Maryland.
Like all games, these FBS vs. FCS ones have a winner and a loser. If the FBS team cares, they will beat the FCS team. If they do not care, things will get too close until the FBS team tries again.
It will get a little easier in Maryland. The Terps have a defense, but it might not matter if they can score about 30 points. It will not be a complete loss, but a late score should be enough.
7. Charlotte at Indiana
Choose Indiana at -28.5 on the odds board.
So I am giving up on my idea that Indiana is good at football now that Curt Cignetti has brought all of his good James Madison players? Not at all.
I am also not changing my mind about the fact that Charlotte is not very good. Then there is this.
ALL OF THIS IS JUST GUESSWORK. If my guess is correct, Cignetti will want to beat the 49ers by more than 23 points. His old James Madison team beat them by 23 points.
So far, IU has dealt with the 23 in all of their games.
6. Iowa at Minnesota
Number on the board: Iowa -2.5, 35.5 points.
Pick: Over and Minnesota
Do what you want with these totally flaky Floyd of Rosedale picks.
The game will be close and not have many goals. Minnesota could easily win at home, or they could lose by, say, 19–17.
Look around; you might find three somewhere. You could get 36.5 too. Why does that matter? I like the under 36.5 and the over 35.5.
It is been a week.
10 Best College Football Predictions Against the Spread: Week 4, The Top 5