Iowa State is not getting enough credit for its strong 4-0 start. It beat Iowa with a late field goal, and all four of its games were easy wins, including a 20-0 win over Houston in the Big 12 opener.
In the end, Utah and Kansas State will be very tough, but getting past Baylor is good for now. Three of the next four games are in Ames.
With a 0-3 start, the Bears are pretty much out of the running for the Big 12 title. They also have to play four of their next six games away from home.
Baylor vs Iowa State Preview
Baylor vs Iowa State How to Watch
Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET
Venue: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA
How to Watch: FOX
Iowa State (4-0), Baylor (2-3)
Why Baylor Will Win
The Bears have been so close to being good it hurts.
They could be 4-1 with just one pass against Colorado and a few big plays against BYU. Pretty much all that needs to be done is cleaned up.
Do not worry about the mistakes; they are not very bad, but this team can not lose any of them. The penalties are always given at the wrong time, and one or two good drives could turn things around.
This will not let the Iowa State offence hide. The Bears need to be just as smart as the Cyclones, have the same number of mistakes and penalties as Iowa State, and beat Iowa State on third down.
They are better at stopping the ball on third downs than Iowa State, but…
Why Iowa State Will Win
Really, try not to make too many mistakes. That is easier said than done.
Iowa State has been almost perfect. They have only turned the ball over three times and have the best pass defence in the country. They also have almost no penalties.
It is easy for it to play the war of attrition game. Win the fight for field position, make the most of every chance you get, and just wait. It should be fine if Baylor is only one thing.
Baylor vs Iowa State: Who Will Win
This could be a score fest, which would be a bit of a surprise.
But both teams will deal with their own speeds. Neither one grinds out and works the clock.
Iowa State’s secondary will stop long shots, making this more of a midrange shot battle. Baylor’s defence will be strong the whole game.
Oh, and Baylor will make a few more mistakes than Iowa State.
Baylor vs Iowa State Prediction, Betting Lines
Iowa State 27, Baylor 16
Line: Iowa State -11.5, o/u: 44.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Baylor vs Iowa State Must See Rating: 3
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