The committee for the College Football Playoff just said what it is going to do.
Alabama will be a part of it, and we will all enjoy it.
Based on the most recent rankings, we are making changes to our CFP projections from a few days ago. However, there is one spot where we do not agree with other people…
Here’s our one call, and we could have this very wrong and could quickly flip. If Penn State loses to Oregon – and not in a particularly impressive-close way – it might tumble more than people think.
We’re also calling Georgia over Texas, and that changes up other things. That puts Texas at the 5 and moves everyone down, so Notre Dame 6, Ohio State 7, and because it lost to Ohio State, Penn State 8. HOWEVER, again, we could flip and Penn State could be 7 or even 5 or 6 depending on what happens with Texas and Georgia.
Where this really gets weird is if Penn State and Georgia both win. Then Oregon is the 5, Texas is probably the 6, Notre Dame 7, Ohio State 8.
ACC Champion is of course in, but we’re going with the idea that SMU is out as the loser. Big 12 and Mountain West Champions are in. Losers are out.
Re-seeding is not done. The winner from 8 to 9 plays the 1, the winner from 7 to 10 plays the 2, the winner from 6 to 11 plays the 3, and the winner from 5 to 12 plays the 4.
The games for 1 vs. 8–9 are 4 vs. 5–12, and 2 vs. 7–10 are 3 vs. 6–11.
CFP Projections: Penultimate Rankings
College Football Playoff First Round
Friday, December 20
8:00, ABC/ESPN
Home site of higher seed
Bowl Projection: 9 Tennessee at 8 Penn State
Last Week: 9 Tennessee vs 8 Penn State
College Football Playoff First Round
Saturday, December 21
12:00, TNT
Home site of higher seed
Bowl Projection: 10 Indiana at 7 Ohio State
Last Week: 10 Indiana vs 7 Texas
4:00, TNT
Home site of higher seed
Bowl Projection: 12 Clemson at 5 Texas
Last Week: 12 Clemson vs 5 Notre Dame
8:00, ABC/ESPN
Home site of higher seed
Bowl Projection: 11 Alabama at 6 Notre Dame
Last Week: 11 Alabama vs 6 Ohio State
College Football Playoff Quarterfinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl
Tuesday, December 31
7:30, ESPN
State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Last Season: Oregon 45, Liberty 6
Bowl Projection: 3 Boise State vs 6 Notre Dame
4 Last Week: 3 Arizona State vs 6 Ohio State
College Football Playoff Quarterfinal Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
Wednesday, January 1, 2025
1:00, ESPN
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Last Season: Ole Miss 38, Penn State 25
Bowl Projection: 4 Arizona State vs 5 Texas
Last Week: 4 Boise State vs 5 Notre Dame
College Football Playoff Quarterfinal Rose Bowl
Wednesday, January 1, 2025
5:00, ESPN
Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA
Last Season: Michigan 27, Alabama 20 OT
Bowl Projection: 1 Oregon vs 8 Penn State
Last Week: 1 Oregon vs 9 Tennessee
College Football Playoff Quarterfinal Allstate Sugar Bowl
Wednesday, January 1, 2025
8:45, ESPN
Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Last Season: Washington 37, Texas 31
Bowl Projection: 2 Georgia vs 7 Ohio State
Last Week: 2 Georgia vs 7 Texas
College Football Playoff Semifinal Capital One Orange Bowl
Thursday, January 9, 2025
7:30, ESPN
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Last Season: Georgia 63, Florida State 3
Bowl Projection: 1 Oregon vs 5 Texas
Last Week: 1 Oregon vs 5 Notre Dame
College Football Playoff Semifinal Goodyear Cotton Bowl
Friday, January 10, 2025
7:30, ESPN
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Last Season: Missouri 14, Ohio State 3
Bowl Projection: 6 Notre Dame vs 7 Ohio State
Last Week: 2 Georgia vs 6 Ohio State
College Football Playoff National Championship
Monday, January 20, 2025
7:30, ESPN
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Last Season: Michigan 34, Washington 13
Bowl Projection: 1 Oregon vs 6 Ohio State
Last Week: 5 Notre Dame vs 6 Ohio State
